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Uniao Central vs EC Vera Cruz Prediction & H2H Stats

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Carioca C 2025
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Match Events

20' Event
Lucas A.
Own Goal
26' Event
Feliciano G.
45' Event
Ferreira W.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C 2025 game between Uniao Central and EC Vera Cruz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Vera Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Uniao Central
15%
Draws
32%
EC Vera Cruz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Vera Cruz have managed 1.2 goals a game lately — Uniao Central are scoring more at 1.83.
  • Uniao Central are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Carioca C 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • EC Vera Cruz have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Uniao Central Clean Sheet 68%
EC Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Central EC Vera Cruz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Carioca C
Uniao Central vs EC Vera Cruz
3:2
Jun 8, 2025 Carioca C
Uniao Central vs EC Vera Cruz
1:2
Jul 7, 2024 Carioca C
EC Vera Cruz vs Uniao Central
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

EC Vera Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Feliciano G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Central 86 / 100
EC Vera Cruz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Central EC Vera Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Central Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Uniao Central found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

EC Vera Cruz let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Uniao Central stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Central VS EC Vera Cruz
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Central

(Home)
12 Jul
Uniao Central
3 : 1
Caac Brazil
06 Jul
Caac Brazil
2 : 2
Uniao Central
03 Jul
Uniao Central
1 : 0
Campos AA
28 Jun
Tigres Brasil
4 : 0
Uniao Central
07 Jun
Uniao Central
3 : 2
EC Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 6

EC Vera Cruz

(Away)
12 Jul
Mageense
:
EC Vera Cruz
06 Jul
EC Vera Cruz
:
Mageense
03 Jul
Uni Souza
5 : 1
EC Vera Cruz
28 Jun
EC Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Caac Brazil
07 Jun
Uniao Central
3 : 2
EC Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraty 12 9 1 2 33:11 28
2 Santa Cruz RJ 12 8 3 1 39:14 27
3 Riostrense 12 8 2 2 29:11 26
4 Uniao Central 12 7 3 2 34:18 24
5 Juventus RJ 12 7 3 2 24:9 24
6 EC Vera Cruz 12 6 2 4 18:11 20
7 Angra dos Reis 12 6 1 5 24:21 19
8 Rio Barra 11 4 0 7 12:24 12
9 Buzios 12 4 0 8 16:33 12
10 Duque Caxiense 12 3 1 8 15:19 10
11 Caac Brazil 12 3 0 9 10:35 9
12 Mesquita 12 2 1 9 8:28 7
13 Barcelona EC 11 1 1 9 5:33 4
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)