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Uniao Da Serra vs GS Loures

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 game between Uniao Da Serra and GS Loures finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Da Serra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Uniao Da Serra
30%
Draws
27%
GS Loures
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uniao Da Serra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • GS Loures haven't matched Uniao Da Serra's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Uniao Da Serra a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 20%
GS Loures Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Da Serra GS Loures
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs GS Loures
2:1
Jan 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GS Loures vs Uniao Da Serra
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Da Serra 85 / 100
GS Loures 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Da Serra GS Loures

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Da Serra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Uniao Da Serra remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Uniao Da Serra scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: GS Loures conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Da Serra VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Da Serra

(Home)
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4
Uniao Da Serra
13 Sept
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1
Mortagua FC
06 Sept
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
30 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
5 : 0
Uniao de Pombal
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
Alverca B
Page 1 of 7

GS Loures

(Away)
16 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
GS Loures
08 Apr
GS Loures
1 : 3
Sertanense
02 Apr
Alcains
2 : 5
GS Loures
19 Mar
Arronches Benfica
1 : 2
GS Loures
12 Mar
GS Loures
2 : 2
Pero Pinheiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)