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Uniao Da Serra vs SC Lusitania

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Vieirinha
77' Event
Marques D.
85'
Ze Antonio

AI Match Summary

Uniao Da Serra in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Da Serra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Uniao Da Serra
6%
Draws
4%
SC Lusitania
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Uniao Da Serra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao Da Serra have won more games recently than SC Lusitania.
  • Model gives Uniao Da Serra a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 68%
SC Lusitania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Da Serra SC Lusitania
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Lusitania vs Uniao Da Serra
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs SC Lusitania
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Da Serra Compare

Top Goalscorer Vieirinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marques D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

SC Lusitania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Da Serra 95 / 100
SC Lusitania 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Da Serra SC Lusitania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Lusitania's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Uniao Da Serra's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Uniao Da Serra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Da Serra VS SC Lusitania
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Da Serra

(Home)
18 Apr
Samora Correia
4 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
12 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
3 : 1
GD Peniche
04 Apr
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 0
Uniao Da Serra
29 Mar
Os Marialvas
1 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
22 Mar
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 0
Marinhense
Page 1 of 6

SC Lusitania

(Away)
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1
SC Lusitania
12 Apr
SC Lusitania
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
22 Mar
Lajense
3 : 1
SC Lusitania
15 Mar
SC Lusitania
0 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Sernache26167333:1255
2Oliveira Hospital26148439:1350
3Naval 189326146636:2348
4SB Castelo Branco26144843:2646
5Uniao Da Serra26128638:2744
6Mortagua FC26116923:2639
7Os Marialvas261061033:2836
8Fatima26881027:2932
9Lajense26881037:3732
10GD Peniche26861234:4330
11Samora Correia26851327:3529
12Marinhense26591220:3824
13Electrico FC26541733:6219
14SC Lusitania26451724:4817
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)