Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uniao de Coimbra vs Alverca B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Miranda O.
25' Event
Miranda O.
39' Event
Cunha R.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between Uniao de Coimbra and Alverca B finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alverca B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Uniao de Coimbra
6%
Draws
90%
Alverca B
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alverca B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alverca B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alverca B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Alverca B have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Uniao de Coimbra Clean Sheet 16%
Alverca B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao de Coimbra Alverca B
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 8 22
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao de Coimbra vs Alverca B
1:4
Sep 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alverca B vs Uniao de Coimbra
2:1
Mar 29, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao de Coimbra vs Alverca B
1:2
Aug 20, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alverca B vs Uniao de Coimbra
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao de Coimbra Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuno Andre
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Alverca B Compare

Top Goalscorer Miranda O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cunha R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao de Coimbra 10 / 100
Alverca B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao de Coimbra Alverca B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao de Coimbra found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Alverca B let in goals in 74% of their last 39 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Uniao de Coimbra remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alverca B
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao de Coimbra

(Home)
13 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2
Uniao de Coimbra
06 Apr
Uniao de Coimbra
0 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
29 Mar
Alcains
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
16 Mar
Uniao de Coimbra
1 : 1
Os Marialvas
09 Mar
Mortagua FC
2 : 2
Uniao de Coimbra
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Alverca B

(Away)
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
12 Apr
Serpa
0 : 1
Alverca B
04 Apr
Alverca B
0 : 1
GD Alcochetense
29 Mar
Alverca B
4 : 0
Portimonense B
22 Mar
Oriental
1 : 2
Alverca B
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1O Elvas CAD26205141:1065
2Fatima26147530:1249
3Arronches Benfica26139427:1748
4GD Peniche26109731:2339
5Os Marialvas26910730:2837
6Mortagua FC26813523:2137
7Marinhense2699824:2136
8Alverca B2698928:2535
9SB Castelo Branco26810823:2134
10SC Pombal26881029:3432
11Uniao de Coimbra26671326:4425
12Sertanense26491323:3321
13Alcains26461617:3618
14Pero Pinheiro26261812:3912
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)