Sport Picks
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol vs Monsoon
Brazil
Gaucho 2 2024 
Match Events
53'
53'
Marquinhos
83'
83'
Joesley
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Monsoon's 0.75 goals per match outpaces what Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol have produced (0).
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Monsoon, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Monsoon have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol Clean Sheet 14%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol | Monsoon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 13 | 14 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2024 Gaucho 2
Monsoon vs Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
2:1
Jul 14, 2024 Gaucho 2
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol vs Monsoon
1:1
Jun 11, 2023 Gaucho 2
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol vs Monsoon
2:3
May 20, 2023 Gaucho 2
Monsoon vs Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol Compare
Top Goalscorer Marquinhos
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Monsoon Compare
Top Goalscorer Joesley
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 35 / 100
Monsoon 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol Monsoon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Monsoon conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Monsoon registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol VS Monsoon
0 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
(Home) 26 Jul
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
0 : 4 SC Gaucho
23 Jul
Inter Santa Maria
1 : 0 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
20 Jul
Aimore
0 : 0 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
16 Jul
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
1 : 1 Real SC
11 Jul
GE Bage
1 : 0 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
0 : 4 SC Gaucho
16 Jul
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
1 : 1 Real SC
06 Jul
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
0 : 0 Novo Hamburgo
15 Jun
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
2 : 1 Santa Cruz RS
08 Jun
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
0 : 0 Lajeadense
Page 1 of 3
Monsoon
(Away) 17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1 Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0 Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1 Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1 Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2 Gramadense
Page 1 of 7
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0 Monsoon
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1 Monsoon
20 May
Brasil de Farroupilha
0 : 0 Monsoon
28 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
1 : 1 Monsoon
14 Feb
Avenida
1 : 1 Monsoon
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Inter Santa Maria1
Veranopolis0
GE Gloria2
Pelotas3
Monsoon3
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol2
Passo Fundo3
Lajeadense2
Semi-finals
Inter Santa Maria1
Pelotas2
Monsoon1
Passo Fundo0
Final
Pelotas0
Monsoon1