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Uniao Lamas vs Florgrade

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Antonio Pereira Francisco J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Uniao Lamas and Florgrade finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Florgrade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Uniao Lamas
30%
Draws
47%
Florgrade
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Florgrade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Florgrade carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Florgrade here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Uniao Lamas Clean Sheet 22%
Florgrade Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Lamas Florgrade
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.12 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.42 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Uniao Lamas vs Florgrade
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Uniao Lamas vs Florgrade
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Florgrade vs Uniao Lamas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Lamas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Florgrade Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonio Pereira Francisco J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Lamas 32 / 100
Florgrade 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Lamas Florgrade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Florgrade Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Lamas scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Florgrade let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Uniao Lamas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Lamas VS Florgrade
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Lamas

(Home)
13 Sept
Sousense
3 : 3
Uniao Lamas
06 Sept
Uniao Lamas
1 : 0
Guarda FC
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
UD Ovarense
1 : 0
Uniao Lamas
16 Aug
Uniao Lamas
1 : 1
Florgrade
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Florgrade

(Away)
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
23 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Guarda FC
16 Aug
Uniao Lamas
1 : 1
Florgrade
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)