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Uniao Luziense vs EC Itauna

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uniao Luziense play EC Itauna in the Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uniao Luziense averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. EC Itauna averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao Luziense won 0, EC Itauna won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 13, 2008 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Uniao Luziense and 1.38 for EC Itauna. This points to a EC Itauna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Uniao Luziense
35%
Draws
38%
EC Itauna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: EC Itauna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Uniao Luziense picked up more points recently compared to EC Itauna.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Uniao Luziense Clean Sheet 17%
EC Itauna Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Luziense EC Itauna
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 5 6
Draws 11 12
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.78 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.66

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2008 Mineiro 2
Uniao Luziense vs EC Itauna
0:2
Apr 3, 2008 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Uniao Luziense
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Luziense 28 / 100
EC Itauna 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Luziense EC Itauna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: EC Itauna or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao Luziense attacking → ← attacking EC Itauna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Luziense scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

EC Itauna let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Uniao Luziense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

EC Itauna lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 30
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America Mineiro20125333:1441
2Uberlandia20106425:1236
3Caldense20112729:2035
4EC Itauna2087521:1531
5Araxa2069521:2127
6Pocos de Caldas20411522:2423
7URT20411528:2923
8Ideal FC20641021:2922
9Formiga EC20641017:2622
10Valeriodoce2048818:2120
11Uniao Luziense20431321:4515