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Uniao Luziense vs North Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Willian Mococa
70'
Matheus Sacramento
70'
Matheus Sacramento

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mineiro 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Uniao Luziense
39%
Draws
30%
North Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to North Esporte Clube lately — more wins on the board than Uniao Luziense.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Uniao Luziense Clean Sheet 18%
North Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Luziense North Esporte Clube
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 11 12
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.67 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2023 Mineiro 2
Uniao Luziense vs North Esporte Clube
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Luziense Compare

Top Goalscorer Nascimento T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

North Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian Mococa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Luziense 32 / 100
North Esporte Clube 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Luziense North Esporte Clube

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Luziense's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Uniao Luziense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

North Esporte Clube's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Luziense VS North Esporte Clube
0.67 Goals Scored 1.5
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1URT1171314:922
2Betim FC1170418:1221
3Itabirito1163217:921
4Boa1161415:1219
5Aymores1152410:917
6Uberlandia1145215:1017
7Varginha1150612:1915
8North Esporte Clube1143412:1215
9Nacional de Muriae1134414:1213
10Tupi-MG1132611:1311
11Uniao Luziense111469:217
12Tupynambas111379:186