Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uniao Paraense vs Urumajo

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Uniao Paraense
30%
Draws
61%
Urumajo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Urumajo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Urumajo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Urumajo a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Urumajo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Uniao Paraense Clean Sheet 16%
Urumajo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Paraense Urumajo
Matches Played 16 17
Wins 1 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 0.75 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Uniao Paraense
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 Paraense A2
Uniao Paraense vs Urumajo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Paraense 10 / 100
Urumajo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Paraense Urumajo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urumajo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Paraense scored in 56% of their last 16 games.

Defensive concern: Urumajo conceded in 41% of 17 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Uniao Paraense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Paraense VS Urumajo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Paraense

(Home)
30 May
Independente
3 : 0
Uniao Paraense
23 May
Uniao Paraense
2 : 2
Izabelense
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
Independente
03 May
Izabelense
2 : 1
Uniao Paraense
12 Jul
Urumajo
1 : 0
Uniao Paraense
Page 1 of 4

Urumajo

(Away)
27 Jun
Urumajo
2 : 1
Izabelense
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Urumajo
3 : 0
Santos PA
30 May
Santos PA
0 : 1
Urumajo
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Marajo 0
Canaa 5
Itupiranga 2
Sao Raimundo PA 4
Paragominas 1
Amazonia IFC 1
Uniao Paraense 0
Urumajo 1
Semi-finals
Canaa 1
Sao Raimundo PA 2
Amazonia IFC 5
Urumajo 3
Final
Sao Raimundo PA 2
Amazonia IFC 1