Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uniao PR vs Maringa FC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Paranaense 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uniao PR play Maringa FC in the Campeonato Paranaense 2022. Maringa FC are favorites here. Recently, Uniao PR averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Maringa FC averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao PR won 0, Maringa FC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 20, 2022 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Uniao PR and 1.86 for Maringa FC. This points to a Maringa FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Uniao PR
16%
Draws
63%
Maringa FC
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Maringa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao PR picked up more points recently compared to Maringa FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Uniao PR Clean Sheet 10%
Maringa FC Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao PR Maringa FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.73 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Paranaense
Uniao PR vs Maringa FC
0:2
Feb 14, 2018 Paranaense
Maringa FC vs Uniao PR
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao PR 21 / 100
Maringa FC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao PR Maringa FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maringa FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Maringa FC & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao PR attacking → ← attacking Maringa FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao PR scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Maringa FC let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Uniao PR went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maringa FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 50
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Operario-PR1163219:921
2Coritiba1163215:821
3Athletico-PR1155118:920
4Maringa FC1161412:1019
5FC Cascavel1153314:1218
6Londrina1153313:1218
7Cianorte1152412:1017
8Sao Joseense1144310:816
9Rio Branco PR1140714:1912
10Azuriz113267:1311
11Uniao PR1121813:217
12Parana111195:214