Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uniao Rondonopolis vs Academia

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2025 Municipal Stadium Engineer Luthero Lopes, Rondonópolis
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Ikson
30'
Eduardo Aires J.
36'
Yohan

AI Match Summary

Uniao Rondonopolis in this Matogrossense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Rondonopolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Uniao Rondonopolis
33%
Draws
27%
Academia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Uniao Rondonopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uniao Rondonopolis lately — more wins on the board than Academia.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Uniao Rondonopolis taking it.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Uniao Rondonopolis Clean Sheet 68%
Academia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Rondonopolis Academia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 3
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Academia
1:0
Jan 24, 2024 Matogrossense
Academia vs Uniao Rondonopolis
1:2
Jan 22, 2023 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Academia
1:1
Jan 29, 2022 Matogrossense
Academia vs Uniao Rondonopolis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Rondonopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomas Dias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Academia Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Rondonopolis 50 / 100
Academia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Rondonopolis Academia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Academia conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Academia's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Solid form: Uniao Rondonopolis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Rondonopolis VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Rondonopolis

(Home)
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2
Mixto
23 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 3
Ceilandia
16 May
Operario VG
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
09 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 7

Academia

(Away)
22 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Luverdense
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Academia
08 Feb
Mixto
3 : 1
Academia
02 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Cuiaba
29 Jan
Academia
0 : 1
Primavera AC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mixto853017:518
2Cuiaba844018:516
3Operario VG844011:416
4Primavera AC834112:613
5Nova Mutum EC83147:1810
6Uniao Rondonopolis82338:99
7Luverdense82247:148
8Sport Sinop81254:145
9Academia80172:111
10Caceres00000:00
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 (Main)