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Uniao Rondonopolis vs Uirapuru - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) Municipal Stadium Engineer Luthero Lopes, Rondonópolis
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Uniao Rondonopolis
30%
Draws
12%
Uirapuru
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uniao Rondonopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uniao Rondonopolis come out ahead of Uirapuru on wins alone.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Uniao Rondonopolis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Uniao Rondonopolis Clean Sheet 13%
Uirapuru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Rondonopolis Uirapuru
Matches Played 29 15
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Uirapuru vs Uniao Rondonopolis
1:2
Sep 30, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Uirapuru
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Rondonopolis 30 / 100
Uirapuru 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Rondonopolis Uirapuru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Rondonopolis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Uirapuru conceded in 87% of 15 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Uniao Rondonopolis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Uirapuru has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Rondonopolis VS Uirapuru
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Rondonopolis

(Home)
07 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
03 Oct
Uirapuru
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
30 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Uirapuru
27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
23 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Chapada
Page 1 of 6

Uirapuru

(Away)
03 Oct
Uirapuru
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
30 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Uirapuru
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
2 Chapada 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
3 Santa Cruz MT 5 2 0 3 8:7 6
4 Várzea Grande EC 5 2 0 3 9:13 6
5 Uirapuru 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Sorriso EC 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
3 Cacerense 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
4 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)