Sport Picks
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Várzea Grande EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) Municipal Stadium Engineer Luthero Lopes, Rondonópolis 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Uniao Rondonopolis at 0.9 goals for, 1.21 against; Várzea Grande EC at 1.22 for, 1.85 against. Head-to-head, Uniao Rondonopolis have won 2 to Várzea Grande EC's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.68 xG vs 1.58) point toward Uniao Rondonopolis. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Uniao Rondonopolis carry the better recent record into this one.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Uniao Rondonopolis taking it.
- Uniao Rondonopolis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Uniao Rondonopolis, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Uniao Rondonopolis have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uniao Rondonopolis | Várzea Grande EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.68 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Várzea Grande EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Uniao Rondonopolis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Várzea Grande EC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Uniao Rondonopolis
(Home)Várzea Grande EC
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Chapada | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz MT | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 4 | Várzea Grande EC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 5 | Uirapuru | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cuiaba | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Sorriso EC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Cacerense | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Campo Novo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
