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Uniao Sao Joao vs Bandeirante - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista Estádio Hermínio Ometto, Araras
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ruan Marcos
47' Event
Rafael Costa

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Uniao Sao Joao
30%
Draws
33%
Bandeirante
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uniao Sao Joao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uniao Sao Joao come out ahead of Bandeirante on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Uniao Sao Joao's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Uniao Sao Joao have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uniao Sao Joao, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 68%
Bandeirante Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Sao Joao Bandeirante
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Copa Paulista
Bandeirante vs Uniao Sao Joao
3:1
Aug 29, 2026 Copa Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Bandeirante
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Paulista A3
Uniao Sao Joao vs Bandeirante
3:1
Jan 29, 2025 Paulista A3
Bandeirante vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:1
Feb 17, 2024 Paulista A3
Uniao Sao Joao vs Bandeirante
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Sao Joao Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruan Marcos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafael Costa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Bandeirante Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Sao Joao 50 / 100
Bandeirante 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Sao Joao Bandeirante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Sao Joao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uniao Sao Joao scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Bandeirante conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Uniao Sao Joao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Sao Joao VS Bandeirante
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Sao Joao

(Home)
03 Oct
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1
Gremio Prudente
26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
21 Sept
Juventus-SP
1 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
12 Sept
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
Page 1 of 6

Bandeirante

(Away)
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0
Bandeirante
22 Aug
Linense
2 : 0
Bandeirante
14 Aug
Bandeirante
1 : 0
Gremio Prudente
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1
Bandeirante
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Sao Jose EC -
TBD -
EC Sao Bernardo 2
Comercial 3
Noroeste -
TBD -
Primavera EC 12
Sao Caetano 0
Linense -
TBD -
Paulista 2
Gremio Prudente 7
Juventus-SP -
TBD -
Bandeirante 3
Uniao Sao Joao 4
Quarter-finals
Sao Jose EC 3
Comercial 0
Noroeste 3
Primavera EC 2
Linense 3
Gremio Prudente 4
Juventus-SP 1
Uniao Sao Joao 2
Semi-finals
Sao Jose EC 2
Noroeste 1
Gremio Prudente 1
Uniao Sao Joao 2
Final
Sao Jose EC 1
Uniao Sao Joao 0