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Uniao Sao Joao vs Juventus-SP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista Estádio Hermínio Ometto, Araras
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Santana Bispo T.
59'
Sub
Bruno Menezes In: Gomes W.
Out: Bruno Menezes
63'
Edinho

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Uniao Sao Joao
35%
Draws
25%
Juventus-SP
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Uniao Sao Joao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juventus-SP lately — more wins on the board than Uniao Sao Joao.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Juventus-SP arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uniao Sao Joao, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 20%
Juventus-SP Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Sao Joao Juventus-SP
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Copa Paulista
Juventus-SP vs Uniao Sao Joao
1:1
Sep 12, 2026 Copa Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Juventus-SP
1:0
Mar 25, 2009 Paulista A2
Uniao Sao Joao vs Juventus-SP
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Sao Joao Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex Oliveira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Juventus-SP Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Sao Joao 32 / 100
Juventus-SP 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Sao Joao Juventus-SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uniao Sao Joao scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Juventus-SP conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Uniao Sao Joao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Sao Joao VS Juventus-SP
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Sao Joao

(Home)
03 Oct
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1
Gremio Prudente
26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
21 Sept
Juventus-SP
1 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
12 Sept
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
Page 1 of 6

Juventus-SP

(Away)
21 Sept
Juventus-SP
1 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
12 Sept
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
22 Aug
Juventus-SP
5 : 0
Osasco Sporting
15 Aug
Paulista
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
08 Aug
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Juventus-SP
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Sao Jose EC -
TBD -
EC Sao Bernardo 2
Comercial 3
Noroeste -
TBD -
Primavera EC 12
Sao Caetano 0
Linense -
TBD -
Paulista 2
Gremio Prudente 7
Juventus-SP -
TBD -
Bandeirante 3
Uniao Sao Joao 4
Quarter-finals
Sao Jose EC 3
Comercial 0
Noroeste 3
Primavera EC 2
Linense 3
Gremio Prudente 4
Juventus-SP 1
Uniao Sao Joao 2
Semi-finals
Sao Jose EC 2
Noroeste 1
Gremio Prudente 1
Uniao Sao Joao 2
Final
Sao Jose EC -
Uniao Sao Joao -