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Uniao Sao Joao vs Nacional SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Uniao Sao Joao
44%
Draws
20%
Nacional SP
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacional SP haven't matched Uniao Sao Joao's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional SP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Sao Joao Nacional SP
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2023 Paulista A4
Uniao Sao Joao vs Nacional SP
3:1
Aug 26, 2023 Paulista A4
Nacional SP vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:0
Aug 19, 2023 Paulista A4
Uniao Sao Joao vs Nacional SP
0:0
Jul 29, 2023 Paulista A4
Nacional SP vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:0
Jul 22, 2023 Paulista A4
Nacional SP vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Sao Joao 36 / 100
Nacional SP 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Sao Joao Nacional SP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Sao Joao found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Nacional SP has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Uniao Sao Joao remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Sao Joao VS Nacional SP
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Sao Joao62405:310
2Nacional SP62314:49
3XV de Jau62135:57
4Jacarei FC61234:65
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Catanduva FC63307:412
2Rio Branco SP62229:78
3Penapolense61416:57
4Jabaquara60333:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Barbarense62403:110
2America SP61418:87
3Sao-Carlense62135:67
4Vocem61326:76
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Francana641110:613
2Taquaritinga64029:612
3SKA Brasil63127:610
4Independente SP60063:110