Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Bruninho
56'
56'
Bruno Lopes
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Uniao Sao Joao carry the better recent record into this one.
- Uniao Sao Joao are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Uniao Sao Joao have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Uniao Sao Joao, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 18%
Noroeste Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uniao Sao Joao | Noroeste |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 14 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 Copa Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Noroeste
1:1
Jul 25, 2026 Copa Paulista
Noroeste vs Uniao Sao Joao
2:2
Aug 29, 2025 Copa Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Noroeste
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 Copa Paulista
Noroeste vs Uniao Sao Joao
1:0
Apr 1, 2012 Paulista A2
Noroeste vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uniao Sao Joao Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruninho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Noroeste Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruno Lopes
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uniao Sao Joao 41 / 100
Noroeste 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uniao Sao Joao Noroeste
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uniao Sao Joao's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Noroeste has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Uniao Sao Joao went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Uniao Sao Joao VS Noroeste
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Uniao Sao Joao
(Home) 26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0 Uniao Sao Joao
21 Sept
Juventus-SP
1 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
12 Sept
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0 Juventus-SP
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0 Bandeirante
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0 Juventus-SP
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0 Bandeirante
19 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Noroeste
08 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Comercial
22 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
0 : 0 Piracicaba
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Noroeste
(Away) 27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1 Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0 Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2 Noroeste
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3 Comercial
19 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Noroeste
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2 Noroeste
19 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Noroeste
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1 Noroeste
18 Jul
Comercial
2 : 0 Noroeste
21 Jun
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 1 Noroeste
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Gremio Prudente | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Marilia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noroeste | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 2 | Uniao Sao Joao | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Comercial | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Piracicaba | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus-SP | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Paulista | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | EC Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Sao Caetano | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 4 | Santo Andre | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
