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Uniao Sao Joao vs Primavera EC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Brunao
46'
Sub
Igor Silva In: Chileno V.
Out: Igor Silva
58'
Sub
Rafael Tanque In: Borges V.
Out: Rafael Tanque

AI Match Summary

The Copa Paulista 2025 game between Uniao Sao Joao and Primavera EC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Primavera EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Uniao Sao Joao
28%
Draws
50%
Primavera EC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Primavera EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Uniao Sao Joao have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Primavera EC are scoring more at 1.33.
  • Model gives Primavera EC a 50% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Paulista 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 24%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Sao Joao Primavera EC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2025 Copa Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Primavera EC
0:2
Sep 8, 2025 Copa Paulista
Primavera EC vs Uniao Sao Joao
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Sao Joao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Primavera EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Josiel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Sao Joao 25 / 100
Primavera EC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Sao Joao Primavera EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Sao Joao's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Primavera EC let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Uniao Sao Joao stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Sao Joao VS Primavera EC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.33
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.17
50% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Piracicaba2
AEA Aracatuba1
Portuguesa Santista1
Osasco Sporting2
Sao Jose EC3
Sao Bento2
Comercial2
Internacional de Limeira1
Uniao Sao Joao3
Noroeste1
Primavera EC2
Paulista1
Gremio Prudente2
Sao Caetano0
Monte Azul2
Francana3
Quarter-finals
Piracicaba3
Osasco Sporting0
Sao Jose EC0
Comercial2
Uniao Sao Joao0
Primavera EC6
Gremio Prudente4
Francana1
Semi-finals
Piracicaba2
Comercial1
Primavera EC3
Gremio Prudente2
Final
Piracicaba2
Primavera EC1