Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Bruninho
90'
90'
Daniel Cruz
90'
90'
Thulio
AI Match Summary
Uniao Barbarense in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Barbarense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Uniao Sao Joao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Uniao Barbarense lately — more wins on the board than Uniao Sao Joao.
- Win probability leans Uniao Sao Joao's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Barbarense Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uniao Sao Joao | Uniao Barbarense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.14 | 0.95 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Uniao Sao Joao vs Uniao Barbarense
1:2
Feb 1, 2012 Paulista A2
Uniao Barbarense vs Uniao Sao Joao
2:0
Mar 11, 2010 Paulista A2
Uniao Barbarense vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:0
Feb 14, 2009 Paulista A2
Uniao Sao Joao vs Uniao Barbarense
2:1
Apr 17, 2005 Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Uniao Barbarense
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uniao Sao Joao Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruninho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57
Uniao Barbarense Compare
Top Goalscorer Daniel Cruz
1 Goals Assists Leader Thulio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.86
Avg xA / game 0.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uniao Sao Joao 95 / 100
Uniao Barbarense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uniao Sao Joao Uniao Barbarense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Uniao Sao Joao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uniao Sao Joao found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Uniao Sao Joao went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Uniao Barbarense has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Uniao Sao Joao VS Uniao Barbarense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.4
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.4
75% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Uniao Sao Joao
(Home) 26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0 Uniao Sao Joao
21 Sept
Juventus-SP
1 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
12 Sept
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0 Juventus-SP
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0 Bandeirante
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0 Juventus-SP
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0 Bandeirante
19 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Noroeste
08 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Comercial
22 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
0 : 0 Piracicaba
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Uniao Barbarense
(Away) 04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0 Uniao Barbarense
28 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 3 Rio Preto EC
21 Mar
Portuguesa Santista
3 : 0 Uniao Barbarense
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0 Itapirense
11 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 1 Paulista
Page 1 of 6
04 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 0 Uniao Barbarense
21 Mar
Portuguesa Santista
3 : 0 Uniao Barbarense
07 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 1 Uniao Barbarense
28 Feb
Rio Branco SP
1 : 2 Uniao Barbarense
25 Feb
EC Sao Bernardo
0 : 1 Uniao Barbarense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa Santista | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 36 |
| 2 | Marilia | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23:6 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Preto EC | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24:13 | 29 |
| 4 | XV de Jau | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 16:11 | 27 |
| 5 | Rio Claro | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Uniao Barbarense | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16:14 | 24 |
| 7 | EC Sao Bernardo | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:15 | 23 |
| 8 | Paulista | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 23 |
| 9 | Uniao Sao Joao | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 22 |
| 10 | Catanduva FC | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 11 | Bandeirante | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Rio Branco SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Francana | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Itapirense | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14:26 | 9 |
| 15 | Desportivo | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Uniao Suzano | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10:28 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)
