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Uniao Sao Joao vs Uniao Barbarense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bruninho
90' Event
Daniel Cruz
90' Event
Thulio

AI Match Summary

Uniao Barbarense in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Barbarense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Uniao Sao Joao
33%
Draws
27%
Uniao Barbarense
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Uniao Sao Joao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uniao Barbarense lately — more wins on the board than Uniao Sao Joao.
  • Win probability leans Uniao Sao Joao's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Barbarense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Sao Joao Uniao Barbarense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Uniao Sao Joao vs Uniao Barbarense
1:2
Feb 1, 2012 Paulista A2
Uniao Barbarense vs Uniao Sao Joao
2:0
Mar 11, 2010 Paulista A2
Uniao Barbarense vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:0
Feb 14, 2009 Paulista A2
Uniao Sao Joao vs Uniao Barbarense
2:1
Apr 17, 2005 Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Uniao Barbarense
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Sao Joao Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Uniao Barbarense Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Cruz
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thulio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Sao Joao 50 / 100
Uniao Barbarense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Sao Joao Uniao Barbarense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Sao Joao found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Uniao Sao Joao went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Uniao Barbarense has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Sao Joao VS Uniao Barbarense
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285