Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A3 2023

Uniao Suzano

1 - 0

Desportivo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 2023 game between Uniao Suzano and Desportivo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Suzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Uniao Suzano

39%

Draws

30%

Desportivo

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Desportivo carry the better recent record into this one.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Paulista A3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Uniao Suzano Clean Sheet 20%

Desportivo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uniao Suzano	Desportivo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	8
Draws	4	9
Losses	20	13
Goals Scored	0.63	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Paulista A3

Uniao Suzano vs Desportivo

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Mar 15, 2025 Paulista A3

Desportivo vs Uniao Suzano

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Feb 17, 2024 Paulista A3

Uniao Suzano vs Desportivo

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Apr 8, 2023 Paulista A3

Desportivo vs Uniao Suzano

Possession: 45% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Apr 1, 2023 Paulista A3

Uniao Suzano vs Desportivo

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Suzano 32 / 100

Desportivo 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uniao Suzano Desportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Suzano scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Desportivo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Desportivo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Suzano VS Desportivo

0.63 Goals Scored 0.5

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Capivariano	6	4	1	1	11:8	13
2	EC Sao Bernardo	6	3	1	2	9:4	10
3	Marilia	6	2	1	3	5:6	7
4	Matonense	6	1	1	4	5:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gremio Prudente	6	2	3	1	8:7	9
2	Sao Jose EC	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
3	Desportivo	6	2	2	2	5:5	8
4	Uniao Suzano	6	2	1	3	7:8	7