Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uniao Suzano vs Desportivo

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Alisson G. M. d. S.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Uniao Suzano and Desportivo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Uniao Suzano
39%
Draws
30%
Desportivo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Desportivo come out ahead of Uniao Suzano on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Uniao Suzano Clean Sheet 21%
Desportivo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Suzano Desportivo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Paulista A3
Uniao Suzano vs Desportivo
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Uniao Suzano
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 Paulista A3
Uniao Suzano vs Desportivo
0:1
Apr 8, 2023 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Uniao Suzano
1:1
Apr 1, 2023 Paulista A3
Uniao Suzano vs Desportivo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Suzano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Desportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Alisson G. M. d. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Suzano 32 / 100
Desportivo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Suzano Desportivo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uniao Suzano scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Desportivo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Desportivo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Suzano VS Desportivo
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285