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Uniao Suzano vs Tupa

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uniao Suzano play Tupa in the Paulista A4 2019. Tupa are favorites here. Recently, Uniao Suzano averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Tupa averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao Suzano won 0, Tupa won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 11, 2019 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Uniao Suzano and 1.81 for Tupa. This points to a Tupa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Uniao Suzano
15%
Draws
61%
Tupa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tupa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao Suzano picked up more points recently compared to Tupa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Uniao Suzano Clean Sheet 11%
Tupa Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Suzano Tupa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2019 Paulista A4
Uniao Suzano vs Tupa
0:2
Jul 5, 2019 Paulista A4
Tupa vs Uniao Suzano
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Suzano 24 / 100
Tupa 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Suzano Tupa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Tupa & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao Suzano attacking → ← attacking Tupa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Suzano scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Tupa let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Uniao Suzano went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Tupa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 43
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fernandopolis63309:612
2Itapirense62317:69
3Catanduva FC61417:67
4Vocem60246:112
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Independente SP63305:112
2Francana62226:38
3Assisense61322:56
4Andradina Esporte Clube61235:95
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maua FC63307:312
2Amparo SP62315:39
3AA Itarare61236:95
4XV de Jau61233:65
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marilia633013:512
2Rio Branco SP62229:68
3Guarulhos62139:107
4Jacarei FC61237:175
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Paulista632114:411
2Tupa632110:511
3Catanduvense63219:511
4Uniao Suzano60061:200
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo SP633011:212
2Sao Jose EC624016:210
3Matonense61233:185
4Jose Bonifacio EC61143:114