Sport Picks

Brazil

Amazonense 2

Penarol

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Unidos do Alvorada host Penarol in the Amazonense 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Unidos do Alvorada have averaged 0.63 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Penarol's 1.17 scored and 0.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Penarol slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 15, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.56 - 1.46) back Unidos do Alvorada to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Unidos do Alvorada

17%

Draws

70%

Penarol

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Penarol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Penarol haven't matched Unidos do Alvorada's recent run of results.
Model gives Penarol a 70% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Unidos do Alvorada Clean Sheet 16%

Penarol Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Unidos do Alvorada	Penarol
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	11
Draws	3	6
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	0.63	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.75	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 Amazonense 2

Penarol vs Unidos do Alvorada

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unidos do Alvorada 15 / 100

Penarol 67 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Unidos do Alvorada Penarol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Penarol conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Unidos do Alvorada scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Unidos do Alvorada went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unidos do Alvorada VS Penarol

0.63 Goals Scored 1.17

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5

75% Over 1.5 67%

25% Over 2.5 17%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History