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Unidos do Alvorada vs Sul America

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2 2023 game between Unidos do Alvorada and Sul America finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unidos do Alvorada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Unidos do Alvorada
17%
Draws
70%
Sul America
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sul America

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Unidos do Alvorada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sul America's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Unidos do Alvorada Clean Sheet 10%
Sul America Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unidos do Alvorada Sul America
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.13 3.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2023 Amazonense 2
Unidos do Alvorada vs Sul America
2:0
Sep 9, 2022 Amazonense 2
Sul America vs Unidos do Alvorada
1:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unidos do Alvorada 14 / 100
Sul America 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unidos do Alvorada Sul America

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sul America's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Unidos do Alvorada's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sul America lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unidos do Alvorada VS Sul America
1.13 Goals Scored 3.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo AM33009:49
2Unidos do Alvorada32015:36
3Librade31024:53
4Sul America30033:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cliper21103:04
2RB do Norte21101:04
3Itacoatiara20020:40