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Union Adarve vs Alcorcon B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Union Adarve Logo

Union Adarve

2 - 1
FT
Alcorcon B Logo

Alcorcon B

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Di Domenico N.
63' Event
Carrasco A.
68' Event
Exposito Verdejo G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Union Adarve and Alcorcon B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Adarve.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Union Adarve
35%
Draws
37%
Alcorcon B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Alcorcon B haven't matched Union Adarve's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alcorcon B's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 16%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Adarve Alcorcon B
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Alcorcon B
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Union Adarve
1:1
Feb 19, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Union Adarve vs Alcorcon B
2:1
Oct 1, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Alcorcon B vs Union Adarve
0:0
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Union Adarve
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Adarve Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrasco A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Exposito Verdejo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Alcorcon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Domenico N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Adarve 19 / 100
Alcorcon B 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Adarve Alcorcon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Adarve found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Alcorcon B let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Union Adarve has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Adarve VS Alcorcon B
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Adarve

(Home)
27 Sept
Union Adarve
2 : 2
CF Fuenlabrada
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Union Adarve
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
Page 1 of 7

Alcorcon B

(Away)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)