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Union Adarve vs CD Fortuna

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012
Union Adarve Logo

Union Adarve

1 - 0
FT
CD Fortuna Logo

CD Fortuna

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Union Adarve in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Adarve.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Union Adarve
30%
Draws
23%
CD Fortuna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Adarve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Adarve have won more games recently than CD Fortuna.
  • Union Adarve are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 20%
CD Fortuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Adarve CD Fortuna
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.55 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs CD Fortuna
1:0
Sep 11, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Fortuna vs Union Adarve
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Adarve 85 / 100
CD Fortuna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Adarve CD Fortuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Adarve Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Adarve found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

CD Fortuna let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Union Adarve stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

CD Fortuna's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Adarve VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Adarve

(Home)
27 Sept
Union Adarve
2 : 2
CF Fuenlabrada
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Union Adarve
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
Page 1 of 7

CD Fortuna

(Away)
05 Sept
CD Fortuna
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
13 May
Mexico
1 : 0
CD Fortuna
06 May
CD Fortuna
1 : 2
AD Colmenar
02 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
CD Fortuna
29 Apr
CD Fortuna
1 : 4
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Fuenlabrada 38 22 7 9 60:33 73
2 Real Madrid C 38 19 10 9 65:33 67
3 Puerta Bonita 38 18 12 8 42:32 66
4 Parla 38 18 10 10 60:39 64
5 AD Colmenar 38 17 11 10 59:42 62
6 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 13 9 46:40 61
7 Carabanchel 38 16 12 10 40:32 60
8 Mexico 38 15 11 12 52:43 56
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 15 10 13 47:41 55
10 Colonia Moscardo 38 13 14 11 42:31 53
11 Rayo Majadahonda 38 12 16 10 52:38 52
12 Union Adarve 38 13 13 12 32:34 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 12 12 14 49:52 48
14 Villaviciosa de Odon 38 13 8 17 34:48 47
15 Trival Valderas 38 10 16 12 50:52 46
16 Atletico Pinto 38 12 9 17 42:53 45
17 CD Mostoles 38 11 9 18 38:60 39
18 Navalcarnero 38 8 10 20 41:64 34
19 Vicalvaro 38 7 8 23 28:69 29
20 CD Fortuna 38 4 7 27 17:60 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)