Sport Picks
Union Adarve vs CD Mostoles
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 
Match Events
75'
75'
Neves H.
90'
90'
Kheribi N.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Union Adarve and CD Mostoles finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Mostoles.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Adarve
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Union Adarve come out ahead of CD Mostoles on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Union Adarve's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 68%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Adarve | CD Mostoles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs CD Mostoles
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Union Adarve
0:3
Jan 26, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Mostoles vs Union Adarve
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Union Adarve vs CD Mostoles
2:1
Apr 10, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
CD Mostoles vs Union Adarve
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Adarve Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
CD Mostoles Compare
Top Goalscorer Neves H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kheribi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Adarve 95 / 100
CD Mostoles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Adarve CD Mostoles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Adarve Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Mostoles has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Union Adarve's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Union Adarve went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Union Adarve VS CD Mostoles
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Adarve
(Home) 06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2 Union Adarve
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0 Union Adarve
27 Aug
Union Adarve
2 : 2 Getafe B
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0 Ciudad de Madrid
03 May
CD Las Rozas
0 : 2 Union Adarve
Page 1 of 6
27 Aug
Union Adarve
2 : 2 Getafe B
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0 Ciudad de Madrid
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1 Galapagar
19 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 0 Villaverde San Andres
02 Apr
Union Adarve
1 : 0 Siello
Page 1 of 3
CD Mostoles
(Away) 06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Burgos CF B
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5 Siello
25 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
2 : 0 CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
25 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
2 : 0 CD Mostoles
12 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 0 CD Mostoles
29 Mar
Parla
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
14 Mar
Mexico
1 : 0 CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
