Sport Picks
Union Adarve vs Colonia Moscardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 
Match Events
66'
66'
Pradillos Castrillejo J.
90'
90'
Penarando M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Union Adarve and Colonia Moscardo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colonia Moscardo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Union Adarve come out ahead of Colonia Moscardo on wins alone.
- Model gives Union Adarve a 23% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 68%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Adarve | Colonia Moscardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Colonia Moscardo
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Union Adarve vs Colonia Moscardo
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardo vs Union Adarve
2:0
Mar 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Colonia Moscardo
1:0
Nov 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs Union Adarve
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Adarve Compare
Top Goalscorer Pradillos Castrillejo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Colonia Moscardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Penarando M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Adarve 95 / 100
Colonia Moscardo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Adarve Colonia Moscardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Adarve Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Union Adarve scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Colonia Moscardo let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Union Adarve stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Union Adarve VS Colonia Moscardo
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Adarve
(Home) 04 Oct
AD Torrejon
4 : 0 Union Adarve
27 Sept
Union Adarve
2 : 2 CF Fuenlabrada
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1 Union Adarve
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2 Union Adarve
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Union Adarve
2 : 2 CF Fuenlabrada
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
27 Aug
Union Adarve
2 : 2 Getafe B
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0 Ciudad de Madrid
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1 Galapagar
Page 1 of 3
Colonia Moscardo
(Away) 04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
27 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
2 : 2 Colonia Moscardo
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Siello
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
2 : 2 Colonia Moscardo
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
14 Apr
Real Madrid C
1 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
05 Apr
Getafe B
0 : 2 Colonia Moscardo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colonia Moscardo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 3 | CD Mostoles | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Cala Pozuelo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 6 | RC Alcobendas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 8 |
| 7 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 8 | CF Fuenlabrada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Leganes B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 10 | AD Torrejon | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Union Adarve | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 13 | CP Parla Escuela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 14 | Mexico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Aranjuez | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | 4 |
| 16 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Siello | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)
