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Union Adarve vs Tres Cantos

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Union Adarve Logo

Union Adarve

1 - 2
FT
Tres Cantos Logo

Tres Cantos

Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Cantero Sanchez A.
72' Event
Cantero Sanchez A.
84' Event
Carrasco A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Union Adarve and Tres Cantos finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tres Cantos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Union Adarve
30%
Draws
23%
Tres Cantos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Adarve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Adarve carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Union Adarve taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 68%
Tres Cantos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Adarve Tres Cantos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.45 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.41 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Tres Cantos
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Union Adarve
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Adarve Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrasco A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.21

Tres Cantos Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantero Sanchez A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Adarve 95 / 100
Tres Cantos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Adarve Tres Cantos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Adarve Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Adarve scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Tres Cantos let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Union Adarve stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Adarve VS Tres Cantos
2.25 Goals Scored 2.29
1 Goals Conceded 2.57
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Adarve

(Home)
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Union Adarve
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Aug
Union Adarve
2 : 2
Getafe B
Page 1 of 6

Tres Cantos

(Away)
10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
03 May
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
Leganes B
26 Apr
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
AD Torrejon
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)