Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Berlin vs Cagliari

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Trepy Y.
62'
Sub
Trepy Y. In: Mendy P.
Out: Trepy Y.
62'
Sub
Borrelli G. In: Mutandwa K.
Out: Borrelli G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Union Berlin and Cagliari finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Union Berlin
30%
Draws
51%
Cagliari
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cagliari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Cagliari carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Cagliari taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 19%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Berlin Cagliari
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.73 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Cagliari
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ansah I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Cagliari Compare

Top Goalscorer Trepy Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendy P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Berlin 24 / 100
Cagliari 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Berlin Cagliari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cagliari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Berlin scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Cagliari conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Union Berlin stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Berlin VS Cagliari
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Berlin

(Home)
15 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 4
Ipswich
09 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 2
Aris Limassol
02 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 2
Cagliari
01 Aug
Dresden
2 : 1
Union Berlin
18 Jul
Aarau
2 : 1
Union Berlin
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Cagliari

(Away)
14 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Arezzo
08 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0
Nice
02 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 2
Cagliari
28 Jul
Cagliari
1 : 0
Modena
23 Jul
Sampdoria
0 : 0
Cagliari
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