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Union Berlin vs Cagliari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Trepy Y.
62'
Sub
Trepy Y. In: Mendy P.
Out: Trepy Y.
62'
Sub
Borrelli G. In: Mutandwa K.
Out: Borrelli G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Union Berlin and Cagliari finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Union Berlin
15%
Draws
59%
Cagliari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cagliari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Cagliari carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Cagliari taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Berlin Cagliari
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.76 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Union Berlin vs Cagliari
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ansah I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cagliari Compare

Top Goalscorer Trepy Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendy P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Berlin 10 / 100
Cagliari 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Berlin Cagliari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cagliari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Berlin scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Cagliari conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Union Berlin stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Berlin VS Cagliari
2 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Berlin

(Home)
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
18 Sept
Bayern Munich
7 : 0
Union Berlin
11 Sept
Union Berlin
1 : 3
Schalke
05 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Union Berlin
29 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
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Cagliari

(Away)
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1
Cagliari
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2
Cagliari
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2
Verona
30 Aug
Cagliari
0 : 1
Inter
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