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Stadium Background

Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Damnjanovic J.
26' Event
Buhl K.
47' Event
Harder P.

AI Match Summary

Bayern Munich W in this Bundesliga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayern Munich W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Union Berlin W
15%
Draws
50%
Bayern Munich W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayern Munich W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Berlin W haven't matched Bayern Munich W's recent run of results.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bayern Munich W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Union Berlin W Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern Munich W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Berlin W Bayern Munich W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 26
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 2 2.87
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W
1:4
Apr 22, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W
2:3
Nov 7, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayern Munich W vs Union Berlin W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Berlin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bauereisen N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bayern Munich W Compare

Top Goalscorer Buhl K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harder P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Berlin W 30 / 100
Bayern Munich W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Berlin W Bayern Munich W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayern Munich W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Union Berlin W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Union Berlin W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bayern Munich W let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Berlin W VS Bayern Munich W
1.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Berlin W

(Home)
04 Oct
VfB Stuttgart W
0 : 4
Union Berlin W
27 Sept
Magdeburg W
0 : 5
Union Berlin W
20 Sept
Union Berlin W
3 : 2
RB Leipzig W
12 Sept
Koln W
3 : 0
Union Berlin W
07 Sept
Union Berlin W
0 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
Page 1 of 6

Bayern Munich W

(Away)
03 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt W
0 : 1
Bayern Munich W
30 Sept
SL Benfica W
0 : 3
Bayern Munich W
27 Sept
B. Monchengladbach W
1 : 2
Bayern Munich W
22 Sept
Bayern Munich W
2 : 2
Manchester City W
19 Sept
Bayern Munich W
5 : 2
Koln W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 6 6 0 0 19:6 18
2 Wolfsburg W 6 5 0 1 18:8 15
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen W 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
5 Werder Bremen W 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Freiburg W 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Koln W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 VfB Stuttgart W 6 2 2 2 8:12 8
9 RB Leipzig W 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
10 Union Berlin W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
11 Hoffenheim W 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Hamburger W 6 1 2 3 9:8 5
13 1.FC Nurnberg W 6 0 2 4 9:21 2
14 Mainz W 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 2027/2028 (Main)