Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Berlin W vs Koln W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Orschmann D.
33'
Vogt L.
45'
Heiseler L.

AI Match Summary

Union Berlin W in this Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Berlin W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Union Berlin W
15%
Draws
64%
Koln W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Koln W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Koln W lately — more wins on the board than Union Berlin W.
  • Model gives Koln W a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Union Berlin W Clean Sheet 10%
Koln W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Berlin W Koln W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Union Berlin W vs Koln W
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Koln W vs Union Berlin W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Berlin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Orschmann D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campbell E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Koln W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bremer P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Berlin W 14 / 100
Koln W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Berlin W Koln W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koln W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Berlin W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Koln W has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Union Berlin W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Berlin W VS Koln W
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Berlin W

(Home)
29 Aug
Freiburg W
1 : 0
Union Berlin W
21 Aug
Union Berlin W
1 : 4
Bayern Munich W
15 Aug
PSG W
1 : 3
Union Berlin W
09 Aug
Union Berlin W
0 : 1
Inter W
25 Jul
Union Berlin W
2 : 2
Hamburger W
Page 1 of 6

Koln W

(Away)
28 Aug
Koln W
1 : 0
Hoffenheim W
22 Aug
Eintracht Frankfurt W
2 : 0
Koln W
15 Aug
Koln W
2 : 1
Leuven W
08 Aug
Koln W
5 : 1
Twente W
31 Jul
Koln W
2 : 1
Grasshopper W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 26 24 2 0 90:9 74
2 Wolfsburg W 26 18 4 4 72:38 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 26 16 3 7 65:43 51
4 Hoffenheim W 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 15 1 10 46:36 46
6 Werder Bremen W 26 12 7 7 42:36 43
7 Koln W 26 11 4 11 36:37 37
8 Freiburg W 26 10 4 12 44:46 34
9 Union Berlin W 26 8 6 12 42:51 30
10 RB Leipzig W 26 7 7 12 39:48 28
11 1.FC Nurnberg W 26 6 4 16 33:61 22
12 Hamburger W 26 4 6 16 26:57 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 3 7 16 22:63 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 2 5 19 22:72 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)