Sport Picks
Union Brescia vs Ascoli
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia 
Match Events
8'
8'
Rizzo Pinna A.
12'
12'
Crespi V.
21'
21'
Corradini G.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ascoli carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Ascoli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 20%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Brescia | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 15 | 20 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ascoli vs Union Brescia
3:0
Jun 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Ascoli
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Brescia Compare
Top Goalscorer Crespi V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Rizzo Pinna A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Brescia 32 / 100
Ascoli 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Brescia Ascoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Union Brescia scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Solid form: Union Brescia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Ascoli conceded in 53% of 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Union Brescia VS Ascoli
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Brescia
(Home) 07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0 Union Brescia
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Ascoli
27 May
Union Brescia
2 : 0 Salernitana
24 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Union Brescia
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0 Casarano
Page 1 of 7
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Ascoli
27 May
Union Brescia
2 : 0 Salernitana
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0 Casarano
19 Apr
Union Brescia
2 : 0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
03 Apr
Union Brescia
2 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 3
Ascoli
(Away) 26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0 Ascoli
07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0 Union Brescia
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Ascoli
27 May
Catania
2 : 1 Ascoli
24 May
Ascoli
4 : 0 Catania
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0 Ascoli
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Ascoli
27 May
Catania
2 : 1 Ascoli
17 May
Potenza
0 : 0 Ascoli
26 Apr
Campobasso
1 : 0 Ascoli
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana1
Atalanta U230
Crotone1
Audace Cerignola1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salernitana-
Cittadella2
Arzignano2
Lumezzane0
Alcione Milano0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ravenna-
Cosenza-
TBD-
Monopoli0
Casarano2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Renate-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso-
TBD-
Pineto2
Gubbio1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Potenza-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ascoli-
Juventus U232
Vis Pesaro2
Pianese1
Ternana1
Lecco-
TBD-
Trento1
Giana Erminio2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Catania-
1/16-finals
Casertana1
Crotone1
TBD-
Salernitana-
Cittadella1
Lumezzane0
TBD-
Ravenna-
Cosenza1
Casarano5
TBD-
Renate-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso1
Pineto1
TBD-
Potenza-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ascoli-
Juventus U230
Pianese2
Lecco2
Giana Erminio1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Catania-
1/8-finals
Casertana3
Salernitana4
Cittadella3
Ravenna3
Casarano3
Renate2
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso1
Potenza6
TBD-
Ascoli-
Pianese2
Lecco2
TBD-
Catania-
Quarter-finals
Salernitana4
Ravenna0
Casarano0
Union Brescia3
Potenza0
Ascoli1
Lecco3
Catania3
Semi-finals
Salernitana1
Union Brescia3
Ascoli5
Catania2
Final
Union Brescia1
Ascoli4
