Sport Picks
Union Brescia vs Ascoli
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia 
Match Events
8'
8'
Rizzo Pinna A.
12'
12'
Crespi V.
21'
21'
Corradini G.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Brescia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Ascoli carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Union Brescia's way, sitting at 90%.
- Ascoli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 68%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Brescia | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ascoli vs Union Brescia
3:0
Jun 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Ascoli
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Brescia Compare
Top Goalscorer Crespi V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Rizzo Pinna A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Brescia 95 / 100
Ascoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Brescia Ascoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Brescia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Brescia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Union Brescia found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Ascoli conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Union Brescia VS Ascoli
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Brescia
(Home) 20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2 Treviso
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0 Union Brescia
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
02 Sept
Union Brescia
5 : 2 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2 Treviso
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
02 Sept
Union Brescia
5 : 2 Giana Erminio
21 Aug
Union Brescia
3 : 1 Carpi
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Ascoli
Page 1 of 3
Ascoli
(Away) 19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1 Avellino
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0 Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0 Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1 Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2 Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0 Ascoli
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2 Ascoli
16 Aug
Genoa
4 : 1 Ascoli
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0 Ascoli
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Ascoli
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
