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Union Brescia vs Cittadella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Brescia host Cittadella in the Serie C - Group A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Union Brescia at 1.37 goals for, 0.77 against; Cittadella at 1.48 for, 0.97 against. Past meetings favor Union Brescia slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.44, favoring Union Brescia. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Union Brescia
30%
Draws
40%
Cittadella
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Union Brescia haven't matched Cittadella's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Union Brescia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 16%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Brescia Cittadella
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 18
Draws 13 6
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Cittadella
2:1
Dec 1, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Union Brescia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Brescia 36 / 100
Cittadella 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Brescia Cittadella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Union Brescia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Union Brescia's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cittadella has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Union Brescia VS Cittadella
2 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Brescia

(Home)
09 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 0
Pro Vercelli
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2
Union Brescia
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
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Cittadella

(Away)
10 Oct
Novara
0 : 2
Cittadella
03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0
Lecco
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1
Cittadella
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0
Juventus U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 9 8 0 1 16:4 24
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Ospitaletto 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Arzignano 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Trento 9 4 5 0 12:5 17
6 Treviso 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
7 Desenzano Calvina 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
8 AlbinoLeffe 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Alcione Milano 9 2 6 1 13:14 12
10 Lumezzane 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
11 Pergolettese 9 2 5 2 5:6 11
12 Lecco 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
13 Dolomiti Bellunesi 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
14 Novara 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
15 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
16 Juventus U23 9 1 4 4 8:15 7
17 Carpi 9 1 3 5 11:19 6
18 Folgore Caratese 9 1 3 5 9:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 9 0 5 4 8:12 5
20 Renate 9 0 4 5 8:14 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)