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Stadium Background

Union Brescia vs Ospitaletto

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Sorensen F.
54'
Sub
Ievoli M. In: Pavanello A.
Out: Ievoli M.
54'
Sub
Maucci G. In: Guarneri M.
Out: Maucci G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Union Brescia
35%
Draws
35%
Ospitaletto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Union Brescia have won more games recently than Ospitaletto.
  • Win probability leans Union Brescia's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 19%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Brescia Ospitaletto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 12 11
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Ospitaletto
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Ospitaletto vs Union Brescia
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Union Brescia vs Ospitaletto
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Brescia 42 / 100
Ospitaletto 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Brescia Ospitaletto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Union Brescia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Union Brescia found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Ospitaletto has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Union Brescia VS Ospitaletto
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Brescia

(Home)
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2
Union Brescia
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0
Union Brescia
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Ospitaletto

(Away)
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1
Renate
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2
Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1
Cittadella
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0
Juventus U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)