Sport Picks
Match Events
52'
52'
Rijks M.
Assist: Riisnaes M.
67'
67'
Riisnaes M.
82'
82'
Riisnaes M.
Assist: Obasi O.
AI Match Summary
The NM Cup 2024 game between Union Carl Berner and Valerenga finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valerenga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Union Carl Berner
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Valerenga carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Union Carl Berner a 90% chance of winning this.
- It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal NM Cup 2024 game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Union Carl Berner Clean Sheet 18%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Carl Berner | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 10, 2024 NM Cup
Union Carl Berner vs Valerenga
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Carl Berner Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Valerenga Compare
Top Goalscorer Riisnaes M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rijks M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Carl Berner 85 / 100
Valerenga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Carl Berner Valerenga
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Carl Berner scored in 71% of their last 14 games.
Valerenga has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Union Carl Berner stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Union Carl Berner VS Valerenga
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Funnefoss/Vormsund0
Eidsvold TF2
Orn0
Mjondalen3
Sandviken4
Bjarg6
Fjora2
Asane5
Madla IL3
V. Haugesund5
Brodd1
Sandnes Ulf3
Hei0
Pors1
Askollen1
Odds BK3
Trygg/Lade2
Stjordals Blink3
Mosjoen0
Levanger4
Askoy5
Sotra4
Lyngbo1
Brann7
Senja1
Tromsdalen (TUIL)6
Heming0
Lyn2
Torvastad IL2
Haugesund1
Varhaug0
Viking5
Randesund0
Jerv2
Hallingdal0
Stromsgodset7
Traeff5
Surnadal1
Brattvag1
Kristiansund2
Rana FK0
Junkeren3
Bronnoysund0
Bodo/Glimt6
Gjellerasen2
Strommen4
Bjorkelangen0
Lillestrom7
Volda1
Hodd6
Spjelkavik0
Aalesund2
Nardo2
Strindheim4
Eide Omegn0
Molde5
Rade2
Kvik Halden0
Sprint-Jeloy0
Moss3
Honefoss5
Gjovik-Lyn0
Sarpsborg FK1
Sarpsborg 085
Oppsal3
Follo1
Union Carl Berner0
Valerenga3
Mjolner1
Floya2
Sortland0
Tromso6
Flekkeroy1
Sandefjord0
Vidar0
Egersund1
Toten1
Elverum3
Ridabu0
Ham-Kam5
Melhus1
Byasen0
Tiller0
Ranheim3
Gamle Oslo0
Skeid2
Skreia0
Raufoss8
Flint0
Eik-Tonsberg6
Drobak-Frogn0
Fredrikstad10
Lorenskog1
Ull/Kisa2
Sverresborg IF0
Rosenborg6
Bossekop1
Skjervoy3
Kirkenes0
Alta11
Ullern0
Baerum2
Asker0
Stabaek2
Fram2
Notodden1
IL Express1
Arendal2
Mandalskameratene2
Start1
Forus og Gausel0
Bryne10
Nordstrand0
Kjelsas1
Nybergsund0
Kongsvinger8
Stord5
Djerv 19194
Fana0
Lysekloster2
OS TF0
Froya2
Forde2
Sogndal6
Frigg3
Grorud1
Arvoll0
KFUM Oslo2
1/32-finals
Eidsvold TF1
Mjondalen0
Bjarg0
Asane3
V. Haugesund0
Sandnes Ulf4
Pors0
Odds BK1
Stjordals Blink0
Levanger1
Askoy2
Brann5
Tromsdalen (TUIL)3
Lyn1
Torvastad IL3
Viking4
Jerv0
Stromsgodset3
Traeff1
Kristiansund2
Junkeren0
Bodo/Glimt2
Strommen4
Lillestrom5
Hodd1
Aalesund0
Strindheim1
Molde2
Rade2
Moss1
Honefoss1
Sarpsborg 082
Oppsal0
Valerenga4
Floya0
Tromso6
Flekkeroy0
Egersund1
Elverum2
Ham-Kam4
Melhus1
Ranheim5
Skeid1
Raufoss2
Eik-Tonsberg2
Fredrikstad5
Ull/Kisa1
Rosenborg3
Skjervoy0
Alta1
Baerum0
Stabaek5
Fram0
Arendal3
Mandalskameratene0
Bryne7
Kjelsas3
Kongsvinger2
Stord0
Lysekloster4
Froya2
Sogndal3
Frigg0
KFUM Oslo3
1/16-finals
Eidsvold TF2
Asane1
Sandnes Ulf5
Odds BK4
Levanger1
Brann0
Tromsdalen (TUIL)0
Viking4
Stromsgodset4
Kristiansund0
Bodo/Glimt2
Lillestrom4
Hodd1
Molde3
Rade0
Sarpsborg 081
Valerenga1
Tromso0
Egersund1
Ham-Kam3
Ranheim1
Raufoss2
Fredrikstad1
Rosenborg0
Alta3
Stabaek4
Arendal0
Bryne1
Kjelsas1
Lysekloster2
Sogndal1
KFUM Oslo2
1/8-finals
Eidsvold TF3
Sandnes Ulf5
Levanger4
Viking2
Stromsgodset3
Lillestrom4
Molde4
Sarpsborg 082
Valerenga3
Ham-Kam2
Raufoss2
Fredrikstad3
Stabaek5
Bryne1
Lysekloster2
KFUM Oslo3
Quarter-finals
Sandnes Ulf2
Levanger0
Lillestrom1
Molde2
Valerenga0
Fredrikstad1
Stabaek2
KFUM Oslo3
Semi-finals
Sandnes Ulf0
Molde2
Fredrikstad1
KFUM Oslo0
Final
Molde0
Fredrikstad1