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Union Club Ceares vs Caudal Deportivo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Martinez H.

AI Match Summary

Union Club Ceares in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Club Ceares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Union Club Ceares
20%
Draws
38%
Caudal Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Club Ceares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caudal Deportivo lately — more wins on the board than Union Club Ceares.
  • Win probability leans Union Club Ceares's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 10%
Caudal Deportivo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Club Ceares Caudal Deportivo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.71 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.14 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.14 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Caudal Deportivo
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Union Club Ceares
2:2
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Union Club Ceares
1:0
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Caudal Deportivo
0:3
Aug 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Caudal Deportivo vs Union Club Ceares
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Club Ceares Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Caudal Deportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Club Ceares 40 / 100
Caudal Deportivo 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Club Ceares Caudal Deportivo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caudal Deportivo let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Union Club Ceares's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Union Club Ceares went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Club Ceares VS Caudal Deportivo
1.71 Goals Scored 1.75
2.14 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 50%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418