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Union Club Ceares vs Club Siero

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Ferreiro P.
78'
Rodrigo

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Union Club Ceares and Club Siero finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Club Ceares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Union Club Ceares
22%
Draws
18%
Club Siero
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Union Club Ceares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Union Club Ceares's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Club Siero have produced (0.63).
  • Model gives Union Club Ceares a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 68%
Club Siero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Club Ceares Club Siero
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Club Siero vs Union Club Ceares
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Club Siero
1:0
Feb 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Club Siero
0:0
Sep 21, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Club Siero vs Union Club Ceares
1:5
Mar 16, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Club Siero
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Club Ceares Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreiro P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Club Siero Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Club Ceares 68 / 100
Club Siero 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Club Ceares Club Siero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Club Ceares's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Club Siero has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Union Club Ceares stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Club Ceares VS Club Siero
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Club Ceares

(Home)
10 May
Club Siero
0 : 2
Union Club Ceares
03 May
Union Club Ceares
3 : 0
Navarro
26 Apr
Gijon Industrial
2 : 1
Union Club Ceares
18 Apr
Union Club Ceares
3 : 2
Praviano
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2
Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 6

Club Siero

(Away)
10 May
Club Siero
0 : 2
Union Club Ceares
03 May
Caudal Deportivo
0 : 1
Club Siero
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Navarro
12 Apr
Gijon Industrial
3 : 1
Club Siero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)