Sport Picks
Union Club Ceares vs EI San Martin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 
Match Events
48'
48'
Martinez R.
79'
79'
Ferrari D.
86'
86'
Alonso Duarte G.
AI Match Summary
EI San Martin in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored EI San Martin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EI San Martin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
12%
/ Low Confidence
- Union Club Ceares have won more games recently than EI San Martin.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 68%
EI San Martin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Club Ceares | EI San Martin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs EI San Martin
1:2
Apr 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs EI San Martin
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Union Club Ceares
2:1
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs EI San Martin
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs Union Club Ceares
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Club Ceares Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
EI San Martin Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferrari D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alonso Duarte G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Club Ceares 41 / 100
EI San Martin 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Club Ceares EI San Martin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Club Ceares Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Club Ceares's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
EI San Martin has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Union Club Ceares remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Union Club Ceares VS EI San Martin
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Club Ceares
(Home) 10 Oct
CD Mosconia
2 : 2 Union Club Ceares
03 Oct
Union Club Ceares
1 : 2 EI San Martin
26 Sept
Club Siero
2 : 0 Union Club Ceares
20 Sept
Union Club Ceares
3 : 4 CD Colunga
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Union Club Ceares
1 : 2 EI San Martin
20 Sept
Union Club Ceares
3 : 4 CD Colunga
06 Sept
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1 Langreo
03 May
Union Club Ceares
3 : 0 Navarro
18 Apr
Union Club Ceares
3 : 2 Praviano
Page 1 of 4
EI San Martin
(Away) 03 Oct
Union Club Ceares
1 : 2 EI San Martin
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2 Astur
20 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 1 EI San Martin
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4 Condal
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0 EI San Martin
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Union Club Ceares
1 : 2 EI San Martin
20 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 1 EI San Martin
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0 EI San Martin
06 Aug
Navarro
0 : 3 EI San Martin
03 May
Gijon B
2 : 0 EI San Martin
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Covadonga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Gijon B | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 3 | CD Mosconia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Club Siero | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Condal | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 11 |
| 6 | CD Colunga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 7 | Caudal Deportivo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Lealtad | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 9 | Langreo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Gijon Industrial | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 11 | Praviano | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:13 | 5 |
| 12 | EI San Martin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 13 | Union Club Ceares | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | 4 |
| 14 | L Entregu CF | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 15 | Llanes | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:12 | 3 |
| 16 | Aviles Stadium | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 3 |
| 17 | Astur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | 2 |
| 18 | Andes CF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)
