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Union Club Ceares vs Navarro

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Steven J.
45' Event
Erasmo P.
53' Event
Madeira C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Union Club Ceares and Navarro finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Club Ceares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Union Club Ceares
22%
Draws
18%
Navarro
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Union Club Ceares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Club Ceares come out ahead of Navarro on wins alone.
  • Union Club Ceares are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 12%
Navarro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Club Ceares Navarro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Navarro
3:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navarro vs Union Club Ceares
1:1
Jan 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Navarro
1:0
Nov 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Navarro vs Union Club Ceares
0:3
May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Navarro
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Club Ceares Compare

Top Goalscorer Steven J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erasmo P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Navarro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Club Ceares 56 / 100
Navarro 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Club Ceares Navarro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navarro has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Union Club Ceares's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Union Club Ceares has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Club Ceares VS Navarro
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418