Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Comercio vs Carlos Mannucci

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia, Tarapoto
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Mimbela W.
40'
Gomez R.
42'
Gomez R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Union Comercio and Carlos Mannucci finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Union Comercio
30%
Draws
33%
Carlos Mannucci
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Comercio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Comercio come out ahead of Carlos Mannucci on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Union Comercio taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 68%
Carlos Mannucci Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Comercio Carlos Mannucci
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Carlos Mannucci
0:0
May 9, 2026 Liga 2
Carlos Mannucci vs Union Comercio
0:0
Jul 21, 2024 Liga 1
Carlos Mannucci vs Union Comercio
0:0
Feb 3, 2024 Liga 1
Union Comercio vs Carlos Mannucci
2:2
Sep 20, 2023 Liga 1
Union Comercio vs Carlos Mannucci
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Comercio 59 / 100
Carlos Mannucci 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Comercio Carlos Mannucci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Comercio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Comercio found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Carlos Mannucci let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Union Comercio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Union Comercio VS Carlos Mannucci
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Comercio

(Home)
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2
Union Comercio
07 Aug
Union Comercio
4 : 0
AD Cantolao
25 Jul
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 0
Union Comercio
27 Jun
Sporting Cristal
2 : 0
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 6

Carlos Mannucci

(Away)
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
16 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
0 : 1
Cesar Vallejo
02 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0
ADA Jaen
25 Jul
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
19 Jul
Carlos Mannucci
1 : 0
Llacuabamba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 12 7 4 1 14:3 25
2 Llacuabamba 12 7 2 3 17:6 23
3 Pirata 13 6 3 4 20:16 21
4 Carlos Mannucci 13 6 3 4 13:10 21
5 Cesar Vallejo 12 4 4 4 11:10 16
6 U. San Martin 11 4 2 5 16:14 14
7 ADA Jaen 12 2 6 4 9:12 12
8 AD Cantolao 12 1 4 7 11:24 7
9 San Marcos 5 0 0 5 1:17 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tacna Heroica 13 7 4 2 18:10 25
2 Comerciantes FC 14 5 8 1 19:13 23
3 Ayacucho 14 5 4 5 18:14 19
4 Sport Huancayo 2 13 5 4 4 12:11 19
5 Union Minas 13 4 6 3 20:10 18
6 Santos FC 13 5 3 5 14:16 18
7 Alianza Huanuco 12 4 4 4 16:14 16
8 Estudiantil CNI 13 3 4 6 20:16 13
9 Binacional 13 1 3 9 9:42 6
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)