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Stadium Background

Union Comercio vs Carlos Mannucci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia, Tarapoto
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Mimbela W.
40'
Gomez R.
42'
Gomez R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Union Comercio and Carlos Mannucci finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Union Comercio
30%
Draws
43%
Carlos Mannucci
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carlos Mannucci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Carlos Mannucci's 1.72 goals per match outpaces what Union Comercio have produced (1.38).
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Carlos Mannucci taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 14%
Carlos Mannucci Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Comercio Carlos Mannucci
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Carlos Mannucci
0:0
May 9, 2026 Liga 2
Carlos Mannucci vs Union Comercio
0:0
Jul 21, 2024 Liga 1
Carlos Mannucci vs Union Comercio
0:0
Feb 3, 2024 Liga 1
Union Comercio vs Carlos Mannucci
2:2
Sep 20, 2023 Liga 1
Union Comercio vs Carlos Mannucci
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Comercio 15 / 100
Carlos Mannucci 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Comercio Carlos Mannucci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlos Mannucci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Comercio found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Carlos Mannucci let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Union Comercio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Union Comercio VS Carlos Mannucci
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Comercio

(Home)
18 Oct
Ayacucho
1 : 1
Union Comercio
12 Oct
Union Comercio
5 : 0
Ayacucho
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 6

Carlos Mannucci

(Away)
17 Oct
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Carlos Mannucci
13 Oct
Carlos Mannucci
3 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
08 Oct
Tacna Heroica
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)