Sport Picks
Union Comercio vs San Marcos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 2 Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia, Tarapoto 
AI Match Summary
Union Comercio host San Marcos in the Liga 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Union Comercio have averaged 1.38 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against San Marcos's 0.33 scored and 2.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Union Comercio slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 0.81) point toward Union Comercio. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Union Comercio have won more games recently than San Marcos.
- Model gives Union Comercio a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Union Comercio have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Comercio | San Marcos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 2.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Marcos let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: San Marcos registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Union Comercio's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Union Comercio
(Home)San Marcos
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 19:5 | 32 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Llacuabamba | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Pirata | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:17 | 24 |
| 6 | ADA Jaen | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14:13 | 19 |
| 8 | AD Cantolao | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:30 | 14 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1:47 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comerciantes FC | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:15 | 26 |
| 2 | Tacna Heroica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 26 |
| 3 | Union Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Alianza Huanuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 23 |
| 6 | Ayacucho | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Santos FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25:21 | 17 |
| 9 | Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:49 | 10 |
