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Stadium Background

Union Comercio vs Union Minas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia, Tarapoto
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
08:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Comercio host Union Minas in the Liga 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Union Minas have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while Union Comercio have conceded 0.79 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Union Minas slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 6, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.31, favoring Union Minas. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Union Comercio
15%
Draws
48%
Union Minas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Minas haven't matched Union Comercio's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 18%
Union Minas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Comercio Union Minas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Liga 2
Union Minas vs Union Comercio
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Comercio 32 / 100
Union Minas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Comercio Union Minas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Minas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Union Comercio scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Union Comercio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Union Minas has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Comercio VS Union Minas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Comercio

(Home)
18 Oct
Ayacucho
1 : 1
Union Comercio
12 Oct
Union Comercio
5 : 0
Ayacucho
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 6

Union Minas

(Away)
17 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 0
Pirata
12 Oct
Pirata
1 : 0
Union Minas
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0
Union Minas
12 Sept
Union Minas
2 : 0
Santos FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 4 2 1 1 9:5 9
2 Union Minas 4 2 0 2 8:3 7
3 Pirata 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Ayacucho 4 1 1 2 2:8 4
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADA Jaen 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
2 Sport Huancayo 2 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Llacuabamba 4 1 2 1 5:2 6
4 Comerciantes FC 4 1 0 3 1:7 5
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 4 2 2 0 11:2 10
2 U. San Martin 4 3 0 1 6:9 9
3 Tacna Heroica 4 0 2 2 3:6 3
4 Alianza Huanuco 4 0 2 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams