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Stadium Background

Union de Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union de Santa Fe host Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Union de Santa Fe at 1.45 goals for, 1.45 against; Estudiantes L.P. at 1.24 for, 0.79 against. Head-to-head, Union de Santa Fe have won 1 to Estudiantes L.P.'s 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.99 xG vs 1.23) point toward Estudiantes L.P.. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Union de Santa Fe
30%
Draws
58%
Estudiantes L.P.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estudiantes L.P.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Estudiantes L.P. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Estudiantes L.P. are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 20%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union de Santa Fe Estudiantes L.P.
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 11 16
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.99 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Union de Santa Fe
2:1
Jul 15, 2025 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Union de Santa Fe
3:1
Jul 21, 2024 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Union de Santa Fe
0:0
Feb 2, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union de Santa Fe 12 / 100
Estudiantes L.P. 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union de Santa Fe Estudiantes L.P.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estudiantes L.P. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union de Santa Fe's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Estudiantes L.P. conceded in 58% of 38 recent games.

Recent resilience: Union de Santa Fe stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union de Santa Fe VS Estudiantes L.P.
0.86 Goals Scored 0.75
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union de Santa Fe

(Home)
20 Oct
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 1
Union de Santa Fe
10 Oct
Union de Santa Fe
0 : 2
Defensa y Justicia
03 Oct
Boca Juniors
3 : 0
Union de Santa Fe
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2
Independiente
12 Sept
Talleres Cordoba
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe
Page 1 of 7

Estudiantes L.P.

(Away)
18 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 2
San Lorenzo
16 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0
Flamengo RJ
10 Oct
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
2 : 2
Estudiantes L.P.
05 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
02 Oct
Platense
1 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 13 9 2 2 20:10 29
2 Boca Juniors 13 6 6 1 21:14 24
3 Defensa y Justicia 13 7 3 3 18:12 24
4 Velez Sarsfield 13 6 6 1 18:13 24
5 Lanus 13 7 2 4 16:9 23
6 Newells Old Boys 13 5 5 3 13:10 20
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 13 6 2 5 15:13 20
8 Independiente 13 5 4 4 12:13 19
9 San Lorenzo 13 5 2 6 7:12 17
10 Estudiantes L.P. 13 4 2 7 16:15 14
11 Union de Santa Fe 13 4 2 7 18:22 14
12 Deportivo Riestra 13 2 6 5 10:13 12
13 Platense 13 2 5 6 12:19 11
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 13 2 4 7 11:18 10
15 Talleres Cordoba 13 2 3 8 12:20 9
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosario Central 13 7 4 2 20:11 25
2 Argentinos Jrs 13 7 4 2 17:11 25
3 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 13 6 4 3 14:10 22
4 Gimnasia L.P. 13 6 4 3 19:18 22
5 Sarmiento Junin 13 6 3 4 22:19 21
6 River Plate 13 6 2 5 18:13 20
7 Barracas Central 13 5 4 4 11:10 19
8 Huracan 13 5 4 4 12:12 19
9 Ind. Rivadavia 13 5 4 4 17:21 19
10 Atl. Tucuman 13 3 5 5 12:13 14
11 Tigre 13 3 4 6 13:15 13
12 Banfield 13 3 4 6 14:19 13
13 Racing Club 13 3 3 7 14:20 12
14 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 13 2 3 8 8:17 9
15 Aldosivi 13 2 2 9 14:22 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)