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Stadium Background

Union de Santa Fe vs Lanus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe
Union de Santa Fe Logo

Union de Santa Fe

2 - 1
FT
Lanus Logo

Lanus

Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Carrera R. In: Salvio E.
Out: Carrera R.
40'
Sub
Medina A. In: Pena Biafore F.
Out: Medina A.
41'
Izquierdoz C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Union de Santa Fe and Lanus finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union de Santa Fe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Union de Santa Fe
15%
Draws
53%
Lanus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lanus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Union de Santa Fe's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Lanus have produced (0.8).
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Lanus taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 16%
Lanus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union de Santa Fe Lanus
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.52 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Lanus
2:1
Jan 29, 2026 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Union de Santa Fe
2:1
Sep 13, 2024 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Union de Santa Fe
1:1
Mar 28, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Union de Santa Fe
2:2
Nov 5, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Lanus
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union de Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Menossi L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mosqueira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Lanus Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena Biafore F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union de Santa Fe 23 / 100
Lanus 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union de Santa Fe Lanus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union de Santa Fe scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Lanus let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Union de Santa Fe remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union de Santa Fe VS Lanus
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union de Santa Fe

(Home)
03 Oct
Boca Juniors
3 : 0
Union de Santa Fe
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2
Independiente
12 Sept
Talleres Cordoba
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2
Instituto
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
Page 1 of 6

Lanus

(Away)
03 Oct
Newells Old Boys
0 : 0
Lanus
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3
Lanus
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0
Defensa y Justicia
29 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
Lanus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 12 8 2 2 19:10 26
2 Boca Juniors 12 5 6 1 19:13 21
3 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
4 Defensa y Justicia 11 6 3 2 16:11 21
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 11 4 1 6 13:11 13
10 Union de Santa Fe 11 4 1 6 17:19 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 11 2 3 6 8:14 9
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Sarmiento Junin 11 6 1 4 20:17 19
4 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
5 Huracan 11 5 4 2 11:8 19
6 Gimnasia L.P. 12 5 4 3 17:17 19
7 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 Atl. Tucuman 12 3 5 4 10:10 14
10 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
11 Tigre 11 3 3 5 10:11 12
12 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
13 Banfield 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Aldosivi 12 2 2 8 13:20 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)