Sport Picks
Union de Santa Fe vs Lanus
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe 
Match Events
28'
28'
Sub
Carrera R. In: Salvio E.
Out: Carrera R.
40'
40'
Sub
Medina A. In: Pena Biafore F.
Out: Medina A.
41'
41'
Izquierdoz C.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Profesional game between Union de Santa Fe and Lanus finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union de Santa Fe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lanus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Lanus carry the better recent record into this one.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on Union de Santa Fe taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Lanus Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union de Santa Fe | Lanus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 6, 2026 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Lanus
2:1
Jan 29, 2026 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Union de Santa Fe
2:1
Sep 13, 2024 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Union de Santa Fe
1:1
Mar 28, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Union de Santa Fe
2:2
Nov 5, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Lanus
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union de Santa Fe Compare
Top Goalscorer Menossi L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mosqueira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Lanus Compare
Top Goalscorer Pena Biafore F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union de Santa Fe 50 / 100
Lanus 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union de Santa Fe Lanus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union de Santa Fe scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Lanus lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Lanus conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Union de Santa Fe VS Lanus
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union de Santa Fe
(Home) 11 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1 Lanus
01 Aug
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 0 Union de Santa Fe
25 Jul
Platense
2 : 2 Union de Santa Fe
22 May
Union de Santa Fe
0 : 2 Independiente
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1 Lanus
22 May
Union de Santa Fe
0 : 2 Independiente
02 May
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 1 Talleres Cordoba
17 Apr
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 3 Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 3
Lanus
(Away) 12 Aug
Talleres Cordoba
0 : 3 Lanus
06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1 Lanus
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1 Instituto
30 Jul
Cienciano
4 : 0 Lanus
26 Jul
Lanus
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
Talleres Cordoba
0 : 3 Lanus
06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1 Lanus
30 Jul
Cienciano
4 : 0 Lanus
30 May
Instituto
2 : 1 Lanus
21 May
LDU Quito
2 : 0 Lanus
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Instituto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Deportivo Riestra | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 5 | Lanus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Independiente | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 10 | Newells Old Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 11 | Union de Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 12 | Platense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Estudiantes L.P. | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 15 | San Lorenzo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:4 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Gimnasia L.P. | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Tigre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Huracan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Ind. Rivadavia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Rosario Central | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 10 | Atl. Tucuman | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 12 | Banfield | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 15 | River Plate | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:4 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
