Sport Picks
Union de Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe 
Match Events
8'
8'
Contrera J.
18'
18'
Tarragona C.
Assist: Giaccone E.
23'
23'
Sub
Luna Diale M. In: Malcorra I.
Out: Luna Diale M.
AI Match Summary
Union de Santa Fe in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union de Santa Fe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarmiento Junin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Union de Santa Fe haven't matched Sarmiento Junin's recent run of results.
- Model gives Union de Santa Fe a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Union de Santa Fe have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento Junin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union de Santa Fe | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin
4:1
Feb 26, 2026 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Union de Santa Fe
1:3
Sep 29, 2024 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Union de Santa Fe
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Union de Santa Fe
1:2
Oct 8, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union de Santa Fe Compare
Top Goalscorer Tarragona C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Malcorra I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Sarmiento Junin Compare
Top Goalscorer Mavilla J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union de Santa Fe 50 / 100
Sarmiento Junin 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union de Santa Fe Sarmiento Junin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union de Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union de Santa Fe scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Sarmiento Junin conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Union de Santa Fe has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Union de Santa Fe VS Sarmiento Junin
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Union de Santa Fe
(Home) 03 Oct
Boca Juniors
3 : 0 Union de Santa Fe
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2 Independiente
12 Sept
Talleres Cordoba
2 : 1 Union de Santa Fe
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2 Instituto
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2 Independiente
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2 Instituto
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
11 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1 Lanus
Page 1 of 3
Sarmiento Junin
(Away) 19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
13 Sept
Sarmiento Junin
1 : 1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
23 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1 Sarmiento Junin
08 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
28 Jul
Banfield
3 : 2 Sarmiento Junin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 10 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:18 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 21 |
| 2 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Huracan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | 15 |
| 9 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 13 | Banfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:15 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
