Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2013/2014

Los Molinos CF

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Union Estepona CF play Los Molinos CF in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2013/2014. Los Molinos CF are favorites here. Recently, Union Estepona CF averaged 0.33 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Los Molinos CF averaged 1.09 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. In past meetings, Union Estepona CF won 0, Los Molinos CF won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 12, 2014 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Union Estepona CF and 1.24 for Los Molinos CF. This points to a Los Molinos CF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Union Estepona CF

15%

Draws

67%

Los Molinos CF

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Los Molinos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Union Estepona CF picked up more points recently compared to Los Molinos CF.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Union Estepona CF Clean Sheet 19%

Los Molinos CF Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Union Estepona CF	Los Molinos CF
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	2	8
Draws	1	8
Losses	27	17
Goals Scored	0.33	1.09
Goals Conceded	2.1	2.09

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Union Estepona CF vs Los Molinos CF

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

0:2

Sep 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Los Molinos CF vs Union Estepona CF

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Estepona CF 20 / 100

Los Molinos CF 62 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Union Estepona CF Los Molinos CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Molinos CF Win (2)

Secondary Pick Los Molinos CF & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +80%

10.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Union Estepona CF attacking → ← attacking Los Molinos CF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Estepona CF scored in 20% of their last 30 games.

Los Molinos CF let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Union Estepona CF went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Los Molinos CF lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 32

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marbella	38	27	5	6	81:37	86
2	Linares	38	24	10	4	70:28	82
3	Malaga B	38	25	7	6	74:34	82
4	Loja	38	24	7	7	88:44	79
5	Mancha	38	22	6	10	51:31	72
6	Velez	38	19	10	9	60:31	67
7	Martos	38	17	9	12	65:49	60
8	Villacarrillo	38	16	11	11	63:46	59
9	Huetor Tajar	38	14	11	13	36:42	53
10	Atarfe Industrial	38	14	8	16	48:49	50
11	Maracena	38	15	4	19	44:44	49
12	Espanol Alquian	38	14	7	17	58:71	49
13	Antequera	38	12	8	18	43:54	44
14	UD San Pedro	38	11	11	16	34:54	44
15	CD Ronda	38	12	7	19	48:58	43
16	Los Molinos CF	38	12	7	19	52:64	43
17	Los Villares	38	12	6	20	36:55	42
18	Melilla B	38	11	7	20	44:66	40
19	AD Huercal	38	4	1	33	29:106	13
20	Union Estepona CF	38	2	4	32	16:77	10