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Union Estepona CF vs Marbella

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 game between Union Estepona CF and Marbella finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marbella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Union Estepona CF
15%
Draws
85%
Marbella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marbella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marbella come out ahead of Union Estepona CF on wins alone.
  • Model gives Marbella a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Union Estepona CF Clean Sheet 19%
Marbella Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Estepona CF Marbella
Matches Played 35 35
Wins 5 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 28 19
Goals Scored 0.54 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbella vs Union Estepona CF
2:0
Sep 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs Marbella
3:3
Feb 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs Marbella
0:1
Oct 7, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbella vs Union Estepona CF
1:0
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs Marbella
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Estepona CF 10 / 100
Marbella 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Estepona CF Marbella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marbella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marbella has conceded goals in 83% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Union Estepona CF scored in 26% of their last 35 outings.

Difficult form: Marbella registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marbella
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Estepona CF

(Home)
11 May
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2
Melilla B
04 May
Maracena
2 : 0
Union Estepona CF
01 May
AD Huercal
2 : 0
Union Estepona CF
27 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2
Huetor Tajar
06 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2
Atarfe Industrial
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Marbella

(Away)
20 Sept
Marbella
4 : 1
Atletico Central
13 Sept
Sevilla B
3 : 0
Marbella
06 Sept
Marbella
2 : 2
Sanluqueno
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Palo 38 20 14 4 72:36 74
2 Mancha 38 20 12 6 50:27 72
3 Granada CF B 38 21 9 8 73:35 72
4 Malaga B 38 20 11 7 71:27 71
5 Linares 38 20 10 8 52:30 70
6 Villacarrillo 38 18 11 9 66:41 65
7 Martos 38 18 10 10 52:45 64
8 Velez 38 14 14 10 51:47 56
9 Atarfe Industrial 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Maracena 38 13 12 13 47:49 51
11 Marbella 38 11 16 11 52:53 49
12 Melilla B 38 13 9 16 43:44 48
13 UD San Pedro 38 12 11 15 50:45 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 9 17 53:56 45
15 Union Estepona CF 38 12 9 17 45:55 45
16 Huetor Tajar 38 10 11 17 44:67 41
17 AD Huercal 38 6 13 19 33:73 31
18 Torremolinos 38 6 12 20 32:67 30
19 Alhaurin 38 5 8 25 30:80 23
20 Comarca 38 5 8 25 26:75 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)