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Union FC Macomb vs Midwest United

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Midwest United in this USL League Two 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Midwest United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Union FC Macomb
22%
Draws
60%
Midwest United
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Midwest United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Midwest United lately — more wins on the board than Union FC Macomb.
  • Midwest United are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Union FC Macomb Clean Sheet 10%
Midwest United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union FC Macomb Midwest United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 5 2
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 USL League Two
Midwest United vs Union FC Macomb
0:0
Jun 3, 2026 USL League Two
Union FC Macomb vs Midwest United
0:4
Jun 14, 2025 USL League Two
Union FC Macomb vs Midwest United
1:3
May 7, 2025 USL League Two
Midwest United vs Union FC Macomb
0:2
Jun 1, 2024 USL League Two
Union FC Macomb vs Midwest United
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union FC Macomb 18 / 100
Midwest United 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union FC Macomb Midwest United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MID Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union FC Macomb scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Midwest United has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Union FC Macomb went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union FC Macomb VS Midwest United
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Union FC Macomb

(Home)
11 Jul
Flint City
4 : 1
Union FC Macomb
07 Jul
Union FC Macomb
2 : 2
Ann Arbor
23 Jun
Union FC Macomb
2 : 3
Lansing City
20 Jun
Union FC Macomb
2 : 2
Oakland County
13 Jun
Lansing City
2 : 5
Union FC Macomb
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Midwest United

(Away)
10 Jul
Oakland County
2 : 5
Midwest United
30 Jun
Midwest United
1 : 4
Flint City
24 Jun
Kalamazoo FC
2 : 2
Midwest United
18 Jun
Lansing City
1 : 5
Midwest United
13 Jun
Ann Arbor
0 : 2
Midwest United
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