Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Gurten vs BW Linz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

OFB Cup Park21-Arena, Gurten
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
1 - 3
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Seiwald F.
90' Event
Ronivaldo
101' Event
Collmann J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Union Gurten
30%
Draws
39%
BW Linz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: BW Linz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Union Gurten carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Union Gurten have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor BW Linz, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and BW Linz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Union Gurten Clean Sheet 11%
BW Linz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Gurten BW Linz
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 19 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.63 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 OFB Cup
Union Gurten vs BW Linz
1:3
Jan 20, 2024 Club Friendly
BW Linz vs Union Gurten
2:0
Jan 27, 2023 Club Friendly
Union Gurten vs BW Linz
1:6
Feb 3, 2017 Club Friendly
BW Linz vs Union Gurten
0:0
Apr 9, 2016 Regionalliga Central
Union Gurten vs BW Linz
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Gurten Compare

Top Goalscorer Seiwald F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

BW Linz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronivaldo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Collmann J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Gurten 35 / 100
BW Linz 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Gurten BW Linz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BW Linz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Gurten scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

BW Linz has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Union Gurten stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Gurten VS BW Linz
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Gurten

(Home)
09 Oct
Union Gurten
1 : 0
Wals-Grunau
02 Oct
Seekirchen
0 : 0
Union Gurten
26 Sept
Union Gurten
0 : 0
Johann
18 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
2 : 0
Union Gurten
11 Sept
Union Gurten
4 : 1
Pinzgau Saalfelden
Page 1 of 6

BW Linz

(Away)
09 Oct
Amstetten
1 : 1
BW Linz
02 Oct
Salzburg
1 : 2
BW Linz
18 Sept
BW Linz
3 : 0
Admira
12 Sept
BW Linz
4 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
05 Sept
BW Linz
2 : 3
Wacker Innsbruck
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Treibach 1
Kapfenberg 4
Hohenems 1
Hogo Hertha Wels 2
Wiener Viktoria 1
Parndorf 3
Lauterach 1
Wolfsberger AC 5
Union Gurten 1
BW Linz 3
Reichenau 0
Wacker Innsbruck 3
SV Leithaprodersdorf 2
Admira 1
Wieselburg 0
Tirol 6
Traiskirchen 4
Bleiburg 0
Wiener 0
Austria Vienna 5
Vorwarts Steyr 1
Kuchl 0
SC Imst 1
Hartberg 3
Wals-Grunau 1
A. Salzburg 5
Mattersburg SV 2020 1
First Vienna 2
Atus Velden 1
A. Klagenfurt 2
Wienerberger 0
Rapid Vienna 3
FC Lustenau 1
Kitzbuhel 4
Donaufeld Wien 0
Grazer AK 4
Dietach 3
Bischofshofen 4
Leobendorf 0
Altach 1
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 2
Amstetten 1
SC Kalsdorf 0
LASK Linz 7
Schwaz 2
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 3
Dornbirn 1
Ried 5
Lafnitz 3
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1
Kremser 0
A. Lustenau 1
Leoben 0
ASK Voitsberg 6
Seekirchen 0
Sturm Graz 3
Horn 1
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 2
Bad Leonfelden 0
SW Bregenz 5
Tillmitsch 1
St. Polten 2
SV Oberwart 1
Salzburg 7
1/16-finals
Kapfenberg 0
Hogo Hertha Wels 1
Parndorf 2
Wolfsberger AC 3
BW Linz 2
Wacker Innsbruck 3
SV Leithaprodersdorf 0
Tirol 4
Traiskirchen 0
Austria Vienna 6
Vorwarts Steyr 0
Hartberg 4
A. Salzburg 0
First Vienna 4
A. Klagenfurt 2
Rapid Vienna 5
Kitzbuhel 0
Grazer AK 2
Bischofshofen 0
Altach 7
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 1
LASK Linz 6
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 1
Ried 5
Lafnitz 2
A. Lustenau 6
ASK Voitsberg 1
Sturm Graz 4
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 0
SW Bregenz 1
St. Polten 0
Salzburg 3
1/8-finals
Hogo Hertha Wels -
Wolfsberger AC -
Wacker Innsbruck -
Tirol -
Austria Vienna -
Hartberg -
First Vienna -
Rapid Vienna -
Grazer AK -
Altach -
LASK Linz -
Ried -
A. Lustenau -
Sturm Graz -
SW Bregenz -
Salzburg -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -